程序员可能会消失，但人人都变成了「程序员」。
作者｜Wildcard
编辑｜靖宇
今天一整天， X 上都有人在讨论，「1024 程序员节日快乐，今年会不会是最后一个程序员节了」。
这一天恰好是周六。微博上的话题叫「今年程序员节自带休息日」，配文说 AI 工具分担了重复编码，程序员终于能过一个不被紧急需求打断的节。
影石连续第五年给优秀程序员发黄金键帽，今年新增了一颗「F5」键，寓意不断刷新迭代。颁奖现场，一位年轻同事说了句玩笑话，「今年的黄金键帽，应该发给 AI」。
一家机构的节日推文写得更直白，「今年的程序员节，我们扩招了，会指挥 AI 做东西的，也算程序员」。
而在小红书上，有程序员在「古法编程时代」的标签下清理旧书，《图解 HTTP》三块一本，算法书十块。另一条帖子的标题是「程序员的书，多抓鱼都不收」，最后卖出去的几本里，最贵的竟然是《人月神话》。
一个节日，被放了假，被扩了招，连它的「圣经」都在二手市场上打折。
节日通常不会死于被取消。它死于没有人再需要它来确认自己是谁。要理解这句话，得先回到这个节日是怎么来的。
01
从码农的暗号到所有人的节日
1024 从来不是一个官方节日。它的远亲是俄罗斯 2009 年定下的「第 256 天」程序员节，传到中国时因为闰年日期飘忽，被换成了更好记的 2 的 10 次方。大约从 2015 年起，10 月 24 日成了约定俗成的「程序员节」。
这是一个只有圈内人才懂的暗号。和它一起长大的，是一整套自嘲。2006 年前后《IT 民工》在网上流传，2009 年到 2012 年「码农」迅速扩散，再往下还有「码奴」「码畜」。自嘲的前提是门槛，拿着比同龄人高一截的工资、干着外人看不懂的活，才有底气管自己叫农民工。2021 年人社部把软件从业者归进「新生代农民工」的统计口径，程序员们刷屏转发「码农真成农了」，语气里更多的是乐，不是愤怒。
然后，这个暗号被请出了圈子。2020 年，CSDN 在长沙办了第一届 1024 程序员节，院士开场；2023 年上了央视，2024 年微博话题阅读量达到 40.7 亿次。
有意思的是，这个节日的宣传语，一直在变化。2023 年，长沙大会第一次把重心从开源转向人工智能。2024 年，中国软件行业协会主办的程序员节，主题已经变成「AI 如潮水向未来，共命运不得不 AI」；长沙大会开幕式上，CSDN 创始人蒋涛现场演示的，是用自然语言让 AI 写代码。
到了今年，大会改名「1024 程序员日暨 AI 构建者大会」，主题是「人人皆可 Build」，开幕式上坐着的是几家机器人公司的创始人。「构建者」比「程序员」宽得多，那条「扩招」推文里列出的新程序员作品，有消费冷静期提醒、衣柜穿搭生成器、能请李白陪你聊天的程序，做它们的人很多一行代码都没手写过。AI 编程工具也把这一天当成拉新节点，ZCode 送 5 亿 Token，TRAE 签到抽奖，官方公示 92.5% 的结果是一张 10 元券。
收编让节日的圈子变大了，AI 让圈子大到几乎没有边界。一个对所有人开放的节日，其实就不再属于任何人。可圈子在变大的同时，原来站在中心的那群人，正在经历什么？
02
最倒霉的一届计算机学生
2021、2022 年入学的计算机专业学生，今年毕业时自嘲是「史上最倒霉的一届」。入学时满眼是水果日和几轮面试就能拿到的 offer，毕业时却发现几乎没人愿意招初级员工。
数据站在他们这边。斯坦福的研究显示，美国 22 岁到 25 岁软件开发者的就业人数，比 2022 年底的峰值少了将近 20%，资深开发者却基本稳住。国内，麦可思的就业蓝皮书里，计算机类专业首次跌出本科绿牌专业榜和高薪专业前十；脉脉的数据显示，后端开发岗位需求降了 41%，AI 岗位却涨了 7.9 倍。
被抽走的不是整架梯子，而是梯子最下面那一格。
最有说服力的样本，来自一家把 AI 编程做到极致的公司自己。Anthropic 本月中旬发布了一份关于自身用工变化的报告。从 2025 年初到现在，初级员工在技术部门中的占比从 21% 降到了 14%；在新招的技术员工里，初级岗的占比从 27% 掉到了 9%，砍掉了三分之二。
不同的声音当然也有。亚马逊 CTO Werner Vogels 前几天在深圳接受采访时说，亚马逊招聘初级工程师的数量「与过去一样」，新人要学的是和别人协作、理解一个跑了二十年的系统，以及判断哪些 AI 生成的代码需要仔细检查。
他还提了一个概念，叫「验证债」。AI 生成了代码，但没人确认过它对不对，这部分就像技术债一样欠在那里，团队甚至不知道里面藏着什么问题。
但即使在他的叙述里，新人的价值也已经从「写代码」挪到了别的地方，挪到了验证、协作和判断上。
那些留下来的人，工作本身也变了。
今年 9 月，Ruby on Rails 的创造者 DHH 在奥斯汀的 Rails World 大会上宣布了一件事，他的公司 37signals 不再把手写代码作为开发软件的常规方式。他给这件事起的名字叫「Pencils down」，放下铅笔。这位曾经说过宁愿退休也不愿把键盘交给 AI 的人，在台上问观众，还有多少人在大量手写代码。
举手的只有五个人。
国内的程序员也在经历同样的转变。一位在大厂做后端的工程师说，过去他一天六七成的时间在写代码，剩下的时间确认需求、做设计、查问题。AI 进入工作流之后，这个比例完全颠倒了过来。一位博士生回忆，两年前他打开 AI 编程窗口时还得躲着实验室师兄们的视线，因为「用 AI 显得能力不足，像是在偷懒」。现在他主动推荐给师兄们用。
那么，今年 1024 恰好落在周六，程序员们终于能休息一天，这是好消息吗？
Anthropic 那份报告里还有一组数字。今年 3 月，公司内部 Claude 智能体的工作时长第一次超过了人类员工。到 8 月，员工指挥的智能体工作时长，已经是人类自己的 6 倍。
报告里描述的工程师日常，是同时开着好几个编程智能体的终端，在十几个上下文之间来回切换。后台数据显示，交互式智能体会话里大约 80% 的时间处于空闲状态。不是模型跑得慢，是它们在等人类给下一步指令。
写代码不再是瓶颈，人的注意力才是。
微博上说，AI 替程序员守住了这个休息日。这话不算错，只是可以换个说法。今年的 1024 不用加班，是因为加班的已经换成了 AI。
程序员正在从「写代码的人」变成「审代码的人」「给 AI 派活的人」「为结果签字的人」。这些工作都很重要，有的甚至比写代码更难。但它们有一个共同点，都不太需要「1024」这个暗号。
一个职业的名字和它实际干的活脱钩，这种事在历史上发生过。而且上一次，恰好也和「计算」有关。
03
曾经的计算员
在电子计算机出现之前，「computer」是一个职业。
这个词指的是人，具体说，是专门做计算的人。19 世纪末，哈佛天文台雇了一批女性，逐张分析星图照片，她们被叫作「哈佛计算员」。
1891 年前后，哈佛大学天文台的女性计算员在分析星图照片。图片来源| Harvard College Observatory
二战期间，美国航空咨询委员会在弗吉尼亚州兰利的实验室，雇用了数百名女性数学人才，手工计算风洞数据和飞行轨迹。其中有一个隔离的部门，叫「西区计算组」，全部由非裔女性组成。
1949 年夏天，美国航空咨询委员会高速飞行站的「计算员室」，计算员们在手工处理飞行测试数据。图片来源| NACA / NASA
1945 年，世界上第一台通用电子计算机 ENIAC 在宾夕法尼亚大学建成。负责让这台机器跑起来的六位女性，就是从当时专门计算弹道表的人工计算员里挑出来的。她们成了历史上第一批「程序员」。
1946 年 2 月，ENIAC 程序员贝蒂·詹宁斯（左）和弗朗西丝·比拉斯为公开演示做准备|图片来源 U.S. Army
西区计算组的负责人多萝西·沃恩，在 1950 年代末看到 IBM 的电子计算机运进兰利时，做了一件事。她自学了 FORTRAN 语言，又带着手下的计算员们一起学。机器接管了计算，她们转身成了给机器写程序的人。1958 年，西区计算组解散。
左起，多萝西·沃恩、莱茜·亨特、维维安·阿代尔，她们都曾是兰利的人工计算员|图片来源 NASA
不过人工计算员并没有一夜之间消失。1962 年，宇航员约翰·格伦准备乘「友谊 7 号」完成美国第一次载人绕地球轨道飞行。轨道已经由 IBM 计算机算好了，但格伦不放心，他点名要西区出身的数学家凯瑟琳·约翰逊把数字手算一遍。按照流传最广的说法，他的原话是，如果她说数字没问题，我就出发。
1962 年 2 月 20 日，约翰·格伦进入「友谊 7 号」飞船。图片来源 NASA，公有领域
机器负责算，人负责为结果签字。六十多年前的这一幕，和今天工程师逐个审阅智能体输出的样子，几乎一模一样。
1966 年，在 NASA 工作的凯瑟琳·约翰逊。图片来源 NASA，公有领域
后来的事大家都知道了。「computer」这个词留了下来，但它指的东西彻底换了，从一群坐在桌前拿着计算尺的女性，变成了一台机器。那个职业没有被宣布消失，它只是被自己的工具吞掉了名字。
今天没有人庆祝「计算员节」。不是因为计算不重要了，而是因为计算已经无处不在，重要到不再需要一个专门的人群去代表它。
程序员这个职业，本身就诞生于上一个职业被稀释的时刻。
现在轮到它自己了。
你可以从命名的变化里看到苗头。2024 年，一家叫 Cognition 的公司发布 Devin，宣传语是「第一个 AI 软件工程师」。之后几乎每家大厂都推出了自己的「AI 程序员」「编程智能体」。字节的 TRAE 社区今年的 1024 活动标题是「致敬真正的 AI Engineer」。
「程序员」这个词，正在像当年的「computer」一样，从人身上慢慢挪到工具身上。
而人这一边，名字也在变。「构建者」「AI 工程师」「智能体管理者」「FDE」。脉脉的数据里，现场部署工程师这个岗位的招聘量同比涨了 15 倍。没有一个新名字里带着「码」字。
所以回到开头那句话。今年的 1024 会是最后一个程序员节吗？
大概率不会。明年 10 月 24 日，长沙智谷还会亮灯，大厂还会发键盘，AI 编程工具还会在这一天送出几亿 Token。这个节日会继续存在，而且可能比以往任何时候都热闹。
只是热闹的主角换了。它会变成一个属于所有「构建者」的节，一个 AI 工具的营销节点，一个地方产业的年度名片。那个最初靠自嘲凝聚起来的小圈子，那群因为懂 1024 为什么好笑而彼此心照不宣的人，会慢慢发现，这个节日已经不需要他们来确认身份了。
就像多萝西·沃恩那一代人，最后没有守住「计算员」这个名字，却成了最早的程序员。
今天在屏幕前同时盯着六个智能体终端的人，未来会被叫作什么，现在还没有答案。能确定的只是，1024 依然是 2 的 10 次方，这个数字不会变，变的是谁还需要它来证明自己。
*头图来源：PCMag
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The programmer may have disappeared, but everyone has become a "programmer".
Author Wildcard
Editor
Today, all day long, there's discussion on X, "Happy Programmer Day 1024, is it the last Programmer Day this year?"
It happens to be Saturday. The topic on Twitter is "This year's programmer's day of rest with his own." The text says that the AI tool shares the double code, and that the programmer can finally have a holiday without an emergency need.
For the fifth year in a row, a gold cap was issued to a brilliant programmer, and this year a new "F5" key was added, with the meanings constantly being updated. A young colleague said a joke, "This year's gold cap should be sent to AI."
One agency's festivities are even clearer: "This year's programmer's day, we've expanded, we'll direct AI to do something, and we'll count as programmer."
And on REDnote, there are programmers who clean up old books under the tags of "the ancient programming age", three pieces of "HTTP" and ten pieces of algorithm. Another post, entitled "Man's book, no fish, no fish" was sold, and the most expensive book was Man Moon Myth.
On a holiday, he was given a holiday, he was given a break, and even his Bible was on the second-hand market.
The holidays are usually not cancelled. It dies when nobody needs it to know who they are. To understand that, we have to go back to where this holiday came from.
01
From the Codenon code to everyone's holiday.
1024 was never an official holiday. Its distant relatives were transferred to China in 2009 for the "256 Days" programmer's festival, which was replaced by 10 times for a better two. Since about 2015, October 24 has become an agreed programmer's day.
It's a code that only people in circles know. Growing up with it is a whole set of self-censorship. Before and after 2006, the IT Civil Worker was on the Internet, and from 2009 to 2012 the "co-farmer" spread rapidly, with the "co-slave" "co-cattle" going down. Self-criticism presupposes a threshold in which a man of his or her own is called a farmer with a salary that is much higher than that of his or her peers and a job that he or she cannot understand. In 2021, the Ministry of Human Welfare added software practitioners to the statistical profile of the "new generation of peasant workers" and the programmers drew up a screen replica of the "Code-A-A-A-R-A-A-R," which is more of a joy than anger.
And then the code was invited out of the circle. In 2020, the CSDN held its first 1024 programmer festival in Changsha, opening with members of the Academy; in 2023, it gained a high view, and in 2024, the number of tweets was 4.07 billion.
Interestingly, this festival's propaganda has been changing. In 2023, for the first time, the Changsha Congress shifted its focus from open sources to artificial intelligence. In 2024, the programmer festival organized by the Chinese Association of Software Industries was transformed into "AI, like the tide towards the future, the common destiny has to be AI"; at the opening ceremony of the Changsha Congress, the founder of the CSDN, Chiang Tao, demonstrated on-site that the code of AI was written in natural language.
This year, the General Assembly changed its name to "1024 Programmer Day and the "AI Builder's Congress" with the theme "Build for All" and the opening ceremony was attended by the founders of several robotic companies. The builder is much broader than the builder, the new programmer's work listed in the scalding tweet, the consumption cooler, the dresser and the generator, the program to get Li Bai to talk to you, and many of the people who do them have never written a hand-written code. The AI programming tool also used the day as a new node, and Zcode sent 500 million Token, TRAE to the lottery, official announcement 92.5 per cent, resulting in a $10 voucher.
Composed to make the festivities bigger, AI to make the festivities even bigger. A holiday that is open to all is no longer for anyone. But while the circle is growing bigger, what are the people who were in the center?
02
The worst computer student ever.
Computer students enrolled in 2021, 2022, graduated this year with a mockery of themselves as "the worst in history". School attendance was full of fruit days and several rounds of interviews, but at the end of the year almost no one was willing to hire junior staff.
The data is on their side. Stanford research shows that the number of people employed by software developers between the ages of 22 and 25 in the United States is nearly 20 per cent below the peak at the end of 2022, while the senior developers are generally stable. In the country, the first time that computer-based professions fell into the top 10 of the undergraduate green list and the high-paying professions was in the Michaels job blue book; pulse data show that demand for back-end development jobs fell by 41 per cent and AI jobs increased by 7.9 times.
It's not the whole ladder that's been pulled, it's the bottom of the ladder.
The most persuasive sample came from a company that had perfected AI programming itself. Anthropic presented a report on changes in self-employment this mid-term. From the beginning of 2025 to the present, the share of junior staff in the technical sector fell from 21 per cent to 14 per cent; among new technical staff, the share fell from 27 per cent to 9 per cent, cutting off two thirds.
Different voices, of course. A few days ago, in an interview in Shenzhen, the Amazon CTO Werner Vogels said that the number of junior engineers recruited in the Amazon was "as in the past" and that it was new people who wanted to learn to work with others, understand a 20-year-old system and determine which AI-generated codes needed to be scrutinized.
He also proposed a concept called "validation of debt". AI created the code, but no one confirmed it. There, the team doesn't even know what's in it.
But even in his account, the value of the newcomers has been moved from "writing code" to "certification, collaboration and judgement."
Those who stayed, the work itself changed.
In September this year, the creator of Ruby on Railways, DHH, announced at the Austen Rails World Congress that his company 37signals no longer used hand-written codes as a regular way of developing software. He named it "Pencils down" and dropped the pencil. The guy who said he'd rather retire than give his keyboard to AI, asked the audience on stage, and how many more people were writing code by hand.
Only five people raised their hands.
National programmers are also undergoing the same transformation. An engineer at the back end of a large factory said that he used to write codes 60 and 70 per cent of a day, and that the rest of the time was to identify needs, design, and investigate problems. After entering workflow, AI completely reversed the ratio. A doctoral student recalled that two years ago he had to hide from the lab brothers when he opened the AI programming window, because "the use of AI seems to be incompetent, like being lazy." Now he's offering it to his seniors.
So, this year, 1024 happens to be Saturday, and the programmers finally get a day off.
Anthropic had a set of numbers in that report. In March this year, within the company, Claude AI agent worked longer than humans for the first time. By August, AI agent had been working six times as long as man himself.
The engineers described in the report are daily terminals with several programming AI agents on board, to be switched between a dozen and a dozen contexts. Backstage data show that about 80% of the interactive AI agent sessions are free. It's not the models that slow down. They're waiting for humans to give next step.
Writing codes is no longer a bottleneck. People's attention is.
Wept said that AI kept this rest day for the programmer. It's not wrong, it's just a different story. This year ' s 1024 is not required because overtime has been replaced by AI.
The programmer is moving from "Codewriters" to "Code Reviewers" "Senders to AI Lives" "Signers for Results". These are important, and some are even more difficult than writing codes. But they have one thing in common, and they don't need the code "1024."
The name of a profession is delinked from its actual work, which has happened in history. And last time, it happened to be "calculation."
03
Used to be a calculator.
"Computer" was a profession before it appeared.
The term refers to the person, specifically, the person specializing in the calculation. At the end of the nineteenth century, the Harvard Observatory hired a group of women to analyze each picture of the sky map, who were called "Harvard Calculator".
Around 1891, women calculators at the Harvard Astronomy Observatory were analysing the images of stars. Photo from Harvard College Observatory
During the Second World War, the U.S. Aviation Advisory Board employed hundreds of women in mathematics at a laboratory in Langley, Virginia, to manually calculate wind hole data and flight trajectory. One of the separate departments, known as the Western Region Calculator Group, consists of all women of African descent.
In the summer of 1949, the Calculator's Office at the U.S. Air Advisory Board's high-speed flight station, the Calculators were manually processing flight test data. Image source | NACA / NASA
In 1945, the world's first universal computer, ENIAC, was built at the University of Pennsylvania. The six women who were responsible for making the machine run out of the manual calculators who were specializing in ballistics at the time. They became the first programmers in history.
In February 1946, ENIAC programmers Betty Jennings (left) and Frances Belas prepared a photo source for the public presentation.
The head of the Western Calculator team, Dorothy Vaughn, did one thing when he saw IBM's computer in Langley in the late 1950s. She learned her own FORTRAN language, and with her calculators. The machine took over the calculations, and they turned to write to the machine. In 1958, the West Sector Calculator Group was dissolved.
From the left, Dorothy Warne, Lacey Hunt, Vivien Adelle, they were the source of photographs of the artificial calculator in Langley.
However, the manual calculator did not disappear overnight. In 1962, cosmonaut John Glenn was ready to take the Friendship 7 to complete his first human orbit in the United States. The track has been calculated by IBM, but Glenn doesn't worry that he's named Catherine Johnson, a mathematician from the West Side, who counted the numbers. According to the most widely shared version, he said that if she said the numbers were okay, I would leave.
On February 20, 1962, John Glenn entered the Friendship 7 ship. Image source NASA, public domain
The machine is responsible for accounting and the person is responsible for signing the results. This scene, more than 60 years ago, is almost identical to today's review of the AI agent output by engineers.
1966, working at NASA for Catherine Johnson. Image source NASA, public domain
We all know what happened. The word "computer" was retained, but it was completely changed, from a group of women sitting at a table with a calculator to a machine. The profession was not declared disappearing, it was simply swallowed up by its own tools.
No one is celebrating Calculator Day today. It is not because the calculations are not important, but because they are everywhere and are so important that a dedicated population is no longer needed to represent them.
The profession of programmer was itself born at a time when the previous profession had been diluted.
Now it's its turn.
You can see the saplings in the name change. In 2024, publish Devin, a company called Cognition, was promoted as the "first AI software engineer". Since then, almost every major factory has launched its own "AI Programmer" AI agent. byte's TRAE community this year's 1024 campaign entitled "To the real AI Engineer".
The word "programper" is slowly moving from man to tool, like the "computer."
On the other hand, the name has changed. The "builder" "AI Engineer" "AI agent Manager" "FDE". In the pulse data, the number of recruitments for the field deployment of engineers was 15 times higher than in the same period. There is no new name with the word "code".
So back to the beginning. Will this year's 1024 be the last programmer day?
Probably not. Next October 24th, Changsha Jiguo will also have lights on, the big factory will send keyboards, and AI programming tools will send hundreds of millions of Token on this day. The festival will continue and may be more popular than ever.
It's just a fun change of character. It will become a festival for all builders, a marketing node for an AI tool, an annual business card for local industries. The little circle of self-scudden people who understand why 1024 is so funny that they don't know each other, they're slowly finding out that they don't need to be identified for this holiday.
Just like Dorothy Vaughn, who ended up not keeping the name "calculator" but became the first programmer.
People who are staring at six AI agent terminals at the same time today in front of the screen will be called what the future will be, and there is no answer. The only thing that can be determined is that 1024 is still 10 times the same, and that number will not change, and who needs it to prove himself.
*headchart source: PCMag
This article is an original article from Polar Park.
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