彭博行业研究：中国AI大模型将在2030年引领全球

该研究预测，到2030年底，中国将在17个关键行业中的8个行业处于领先地位，其中包括大语言模型。陈永富(Francis Chan)领衔的彭博行业研究分析师在报告中称，在对AI竞赛至关重要的其他类别中，中国企业目前大多落后，但到2030年将具备竞争力，包括生产运行AI所需的硬件，从芯片到光网络组件。

报告称中国将在8个行业领先

“到2030年，美国和中国有望共同引领AI技术发展，两国都不太可能取得全面主导地位。”报告称。

该报告指出，美国模型可能在最前沿保持微弱领先，而“中国在软件优化方面的专长使其在低成本AI应用方面处于有利地位”。中国很可能缩小在半导体技术方面的差距，但暂时不会实现完全自给自足。

彭博行业研究的报告预测，中国将在全部三个新能源领域成为全球领导者，其中包括电动汽车和储能，并将在生物制药制造领域占据全球领先地位。中国目前已在人形机器人生产和造船业的部分领域取得领先地位，研发支出也已追赶上美国。

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The study predicts that by the end of 2030, China will be in the lead in 8 of the 17 key industries, including large language models. In his report, Francis Chan, the trade research analyst in Bloomberg, stated that Chinese enterprises currently lag behind in most of the other categories that are critical to the AI competition, but will be competitive by 2030, including the production of hardware needed to run AI, from chips to light network components.

The report states that China will lead in eight industries.

“The United States and China are expected to lead AI technology development together by 2030, and neither country is likely to achieve full ownership. “Report.

The report notes that the United States model may be at the forefront of the line with a weak lead, while “China's expertise in software optimization puts it in a good position in low-cost AI applications”. China is likely to close the gap in semiconductor technology, but will not be fully self-sufficient for the time being.

The report of the Bloomberg industry studies predicts that China will be a global leader in all three new energy sectors, including electric automobiles and storage power, and will be a global leader in biopharmaceutical manufacturing. China is now in the lead in some areas of human robot production and shipbuilding, and research and development expenditure has caught up with the United States.

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